ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BLANCA ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022015 300 PM MDT SUN JUN 07 2015 ...BLANCA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.3N 111.0W ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Hurricane Watch from Cabo San Lucas to Santa Fe. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Loreto to Punta Abreojos, including Cabo San Lucas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Loreto to Mulege For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Blanca was located near latitude 21.3 North, longitude 111.0 West. Blanca is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Blanca will approach the southwest coast of the Baja California peninsula later today, and move near or along the coast tonight and Monday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Blanca is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression by Monday afternoon or evening. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. A sustained wind of 46 mph (74 km/h) was reported at the Cabo San Lucas International Airport about two hours ago. The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane Hunter data is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring over the southern portion of the warning area. Tropical storm conditions should spread northward elsewhere within the warning area later today and Monday. RAINFALL: Blanca is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over much of Baja California Sur and the southern half of the state of Baja California, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches over Baja California Sur. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Rainfall associated with Blanca may begin to affect portions of the southwestern United States on Tuesday. SURF: Swells generated by Blanca are affecting the coast of southwestern Mexico, the Pacific coast of the Baja California peninsula, and the southern Gulf of California. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. For additional information, please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM MDT. Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN