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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  11A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
700 AM CDT SAT JUN 13 2015

...CARLOS A LITTLE STRONGER...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 100.2W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM SSE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Acapulco to Punta San Telmo

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the southwest coast of Mexico should
monitor the progress of Carlos.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlos was
located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 100.2 West. Carlos is
currently stationary but is expected to move slowly northwestward
later today.  A slight increase in forward speed is expected
on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next
day or two, and Carlos could become a hurricane by Sunday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
by tonight or Sunday.

RAINFALL:  Locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the
southern coast of Mexico, primarily in the states of Oaxaca
and Guerrero, during the next couple of days.

SURF:  Swells associated with Carlos will affect the coast of
southern Mexico during the next few days.  These swells could cause
life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from
your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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