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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
100 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...CARLOS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
...DECAYING RAPIDLY...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 104.7W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Hurricane Watch from
Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula, Mexico.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes, Mexico

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlos was
located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 104.7 West. Carlos is
moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), which is expected
to continue for the next day or so until dissipation.

Maximum sustained winds have to decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Rapid weakening is forecast and Carlos could
become a tropical depression later today and dissipate by tonight.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.26 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area today.

RAINFALL:  Carlos is expected to produce heavy rains in the Mexican
states of Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, Durango, and Sinaloa
with rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches possible through
Friday.  Isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches are also possible.
These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud
slides, especially in areas of higher terrain.

SURF:  Swells associated with Carlos will continue to affect the
coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or two.  These
swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

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