ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 400 PM CDT SAT JUL 11 2015 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN SOUTH OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.7N 99.5W ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warning in effect. Interests along the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system since watches or warnings could be required. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Five-E was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 99.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the core of the cyclone is expected to remain offshore of the coast of Mexico. However, a small deviation to the north of the projected track could bring stronger winds to the coast. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and the depression could become a tropical storm tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The outer rain bands of the depression are expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with isolated totals of 5 inches along the southwestern coast of Mexico through Wednesday. SURF: Swells generated by the system are expected to increase near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico during the next few days, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi NNNN