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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
400 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2015

...DOLORES STRENGTHENS SOME MORE WHILE IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AWAY FROM THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 105.0W
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dolores was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 105.0 West. Dolores is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this
motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected through Tuesday.
On the forecast track, Dolores will gradually move away from the
southwestern coast of Mexico today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and
Dolores is expected to become a hurricane later today.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
this morning.

RAINFALL:  The outer rain bands of Dolores are expected to produce
total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches along the southwestern
coast of Mexico from the state of Oaxaca to Nayarit, and eventually
over the southern tip of Baja California Sur. Isolated maximum
amounts of 7 inches are possible.

SURF:  Swells generated by Dolores are expected to affect the
southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico and the Baja California
peninsula during the next few days, and could cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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