ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 900 PM MDT THU JUL 16 2015 ...DOLORES WEAKENS SOME MORE... ...STILL A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.8N 113.2W ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM SW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Dolores was located near latitude 20.8 North, longitude 113.2 West. Dolores is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn back toward the west-northwest is expected later tonight, and that motion is should continue through Friday night. A turn toward the northwest with an increase in forward speed is forecast to occur on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Dolores could become a tropical storm by Friday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Dolores are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico and Baja California Sur. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart NNNN