ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 200 PM PDT SUN OCT 18 2015 ...OLAF MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD OVER THE OPEN EASTERN PACIFIC BASIN... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...9.7N 134.3W ABOUT 1550 MI...2495 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 1850 MI...2980 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Olaf was located near latitude 9.7 North, longitude 134.3 West. Olaf is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). This westward motion is expected to continue through Monday, followed by a turn toward the west- northwest Monday night and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Olaf could be near major hurricane strength by Monday night or Tuesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan NNNN