ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212015 700 PM PST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...RICK CHANGES LITTLE IN STRENGTH BUT EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING ON SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 700 PM PST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 117.0W ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 PM PST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rick was located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 117.0 West. Rick is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn to the northwest with a decrease in forward speed is expected on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Rick is expected to become a tropical depression on Sunday and a post-tropical remnant low Sunday night or early Monday. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 100 AM PST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi NNNN