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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Agatha Advisory Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012022
1000 PM CDT Mon May 30 2022
 
...AGATHA COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES
OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH TUESDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 96.2W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NNE OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning from Punta Maldonado to Lagunas de Chacahua, the Hurricane 
Warning from Lagunas de Chacahua to Salina Cruz and the Hurricane 
Watch from Salina Cruz to Barra de Tonala.
 
The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning from
Puerto Escondido to Salina Cruz. 
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Escondido eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Agatha was
located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 96.2 West. Agatha is
moving toward the northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general 
motion is expected to continue through Tuesday.  On the forecast 
track, the center of Agatha will continue to move inland over 
Oaxaca through early Tuesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Further weakening is expected, and Agatha is 
forecast to dissipate over Mexico by Tuesday afternoon.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue in the
warning areas through Tuesday morning.
 
STORM SURGE:  Water levels are forecast to slowly recede near the 
coast overnight.
 
RAINFALL: Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern
Mexico through Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are
currently expected:
 
Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.
 
Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.
 
Mexican states of Veracruz, Tabasco and eastern portions of
Guerrero: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches
possible.
 
SURF:  Large swells generated by Agatha will affect the coast of
southern Mexico through Tuesday.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Blake
 
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