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Tropical Storm Jose Discussion Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL112023
500 PM AST Fri Sep 01 2023
 
Jose has started to become more elongated in recent geostationary 
imagery. However, a midday AMSR2 microwave pass showed that the 
system still has a small coherent mid-level circulation. The 
intensity is held at 45 kt for this advisory, in best agreement with 
recent UW-CIMSS AiDT, DMINT, and DPRINT estimates. It is noted that 
the intensity is more uncertain than usual given the compact nature 
of the system and its degraded convective structure. The storm is 
beginning to move underneath the upper-level clouds associated with 
Franklin's outflow.
 
Jose continues to accelerate towards the north-northeast at about 28 
kt. The increase in forward motion and interaction with Franklin 
could lead to a slight expansion of the tropical-storm-force winds 
on the east side of Jose. The tropical storm is still expected to 
dissipate sometime tonight as it becomes absorbed by Franklin. The 
track forecast is largely based on the global model wind fields, and 
little intensity change is anticipated through dissipation as the 
fast forward motion is likely to maintain stronger winds over the 
eastern semicircle.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  01/2100Z 39.4N  49.1W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  02/0600Z 43.5N  47.5W   45 KT  50 MPH
 24H  02/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Stevenson/Reinhart
 
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