ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Bret Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032023 1100 AM AST Fri Jun 23 2023 ...BRET MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... ...RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS LINGER IN PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.3N 64.7W ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM W OF ST. VINCENT ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ENE OF CURACAO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Barbados has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for St. Vincent and the Grenadines. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests adjacent to the southeastern Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of Bret. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bret was located near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 64.7 West. Bret is moving toward the west near 21 mph (33 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Bret will continue moving westward away from the Windward Islands and across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Bret is expected to dissipate over the central Caribbean Sea by Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Bret can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml WIND: Gusty winds should continue to subside across the Windward Islands over the next few hours. RAINFALL: Rainfall associated with Bret is expected to diminish across the Lesser Antilles later today as the storm continues to move westward across the Caribbean. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles from Guadeloupe south through St Vincent and the Grenadines, including Barbados. The heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding, especially across areas of higher terrain. Urban flooding is also possible. SURF: Swells generated by Bret are expected to gradually subside along the Lesser Antilles through the day. Swells are likely to increase in areas adjacent to the central Caribbean Sea later today and on Saturday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi NNNN