ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Calvin Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032023 500 PM HST Sun Jul 16 2023 ...CALVIN NEARING THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN... ...EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BY LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.4N 137.9W ABOUT 1150 MI...1855 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Hawaii should monitor the progress of Calvin. A Tropical Storm Watch may be required for portions of the main Hawaiian Islands tonight. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Calvin was located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 137.9 West. Calvin is moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue during the next several days. On the forecast track, the center of Calvin will move into the central Pacific basin late tonight or early Monday and approach the Hawaiian Islands on Tuesday and early Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional weakening is forecast during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Calvin can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/miatcdep3.shtml RAINFALL: Storm total rainfall amounts of 4-7 inches are possible along windward areas of the Big Island of Hawaii from Tuesday night into Thursday, with lower amounts (1-4 inches) expected elsewhere in the state. This rainfall could lead to localized flash flooding and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Calvin are expected to begin reaching the Hawaiian Islands during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN