ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Lidia Advisory Number 32 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152023 1000 PM CDT Tue Oct 10 2023 ...HURRICANE LIDIA MOVING INLAND OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO... ...LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND FLOODING RAINFALL CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.6N 104.7W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM E OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM ENE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Hurricane Warning for the Pacific coast of west-central Mexico from El Roblito to San Blas and Las Islas Marias. The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for the Pacific coast of west-central Mexico from El Roblito to Mazatlan. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Manzanillo to San Blas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lidia was located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 104.7 West. Lidia is moving toward the east-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a slightly faster east-northeastward motion is expected through tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Lidia will continue moving inland over west-central Mexico tonight and Wednesday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is expected as Lidia moves inland tonight and Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Lidia can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP5.shtml RAINFALL: Lidia is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with local maxima of 12 inches through Wednesday across the state of Nayarit, southern portions of the state of Sinaloa, and coastal portions of the state of Jalisco in western Mexico. These rains will likely produce flash and urban flooding, along with possible mudslides in areas of higher terrain near the coast. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the south of where Lidia made landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. WIND: Hurricane conditions are occurring in portions of west-central Mexico within the hurricane warning area. Tropical storm conditions are occuring in portions of the tropical storm warning areas. SURF: Swells generated by Lidia will affect the west coast of Mexico and the Baja California peninsula for the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Bucci NNNN