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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Max Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162023
700 AM CDT Mon Oct 09 2023
 
...MAX STRENGTHENING NEAR THE MEXICAN COASTLINE...
...COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES LATER TODAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 101.4W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Acapulco to Punta San Telmo
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case in the
next 24 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Max was 
located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 101.4 West. Max is 
moving toward the north near 5 mph (8 km/h) and this motion is 
expected to continue through Tuesday.  On the forecast track, Max 
should make landfall later today within the warning area, then move 
farther inland over southern Mexico.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with 
higher gusts.  Max could intensify up until it makes landfall later 
today, with rapid weakening expected afterwards. Max should 
dissipate over Mexico on Tuesday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.41 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Max can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP1.shtml
 
RAINFALL:  Max is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8
inches with local maxima of 12 inches through Tuesday across the
states of Guerrero, Michoacan and the coastal sections of western
Oaxaca in southwest Mexico. These rains will likely produce flash
and urban flooding, along with possible mudslides in areas of
higher terrain near the coast.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the warning area
and expected to overspread the warning area throughout the day.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Max will affect the southern coast of
Mexico for the next day or two.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Papin
 
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