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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042015
1100 PM AST SAT AUG 22 2015

...DANNY WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 54.7W
ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 to 48
hours.

Interests elsewhere in the U. S. and British Virgin Islands, Puerto
Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of
Danny.  Additional watches or warnings could be required for
portions of these areas on Sunday.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Danny was
located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 54.7 West. Danny is
moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through Sunday night.  A turn toward
the west-northwest is forecast on Monday.  On the forecast track,
the center of Danny is expected to be near the Leeward Islands
Sunday night or Monday morning.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm force winds are possible within the watch
area by late Sunday night.

RAINFALL: Danny is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain over
the Leeward Islands through Monday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown/Berg

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