ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE BLANCA ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022015 300 AM MDT SAT JUN 06 2015 ...BLANCA A MAJOR HURRICANE AGAIN... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.9N 108.9W ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM S OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning from La Paz to Santa Fe, including Cabo San Lucas. The government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Watch from Cabo San Lucas to Santa Fe. The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch from north of La Paz to San Evaristo and from north of Santa Fe to Cabo San Lazaro. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cabo San Lucas to Santa Fe A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * La Paz to Santa Fe, including Cabo San Lucas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of La Paz to San Evaristo * North of Santa Fe to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 to 48 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Blanca was located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 108.9 West. Blanca is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the north-northwest is forecast by tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Blanca is expected to approach the coast in the warning area late Sunday. Satellite imagery indicates that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Blanca is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is forecast today. Weakening is forecast tonight and Sunday, but Blanca is forecast to be near hurricane strength as it approaches the southern Baja California peninsula. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 952 mb (28.12 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the warning area on Sunday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area Sunday and Sunday night. RAINFALL: Blanca is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over much of Baja California Sur and the southern portion of Baja California, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 7 inches over Baja California Sur. SURF: Swells generated by Blanca are affecting the coast of southwestern Mexico, the Pacific coast of the Baja California peninsula, and the southern Gulf of California. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. For additional information, please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM MDT. Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan NNNN