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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
1000 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

...CARLOS A LITTLE STRONGER...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PART OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 100.4W
ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SSE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch from
Acapulco to Zihuatanejo.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Acapulco to Zihuatanejo

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlos was
located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 100.4 West. Carlos is
moving toward the north-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A very slow
north-northwestward to northwestward motion is expected for the next
couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with
higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours, and Carlos is forecast to become a hurricane by
Friday night.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
by Saturday night.

RAINFALL:  Locally heavy rains could spread over portions of the
southern coast of Mexico, primarily in the states of Oaxaca and
Guerrero, during the next couple of days.

SURF:  Swells associated with Carlos are expected to increase near
the coast of southern Mexico during the next few days.  These swells
could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

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