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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
400 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WELL SOUTH OF
ACAPULCO MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.6N 101.1W
ABOUT 180 MI...285 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warning in effect.

Interests along the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico
should monitor the progress of this system since watches or
warnings could be required later today.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dolores was
located near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 101.1 West. Dolores is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the
forecast track, the center of Dolores is forecast to remain well
offshore of and move parallel to the southern coast of Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Further strengthening is forecast during the next 48
hours, and Dolores is expected to become a hurricane by Monday night
or Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The outer rain bands of Dolores are expected to produce
total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches along the southwestern
coast of Mexico from the state of Oaxaca to Nayarit...with possible
isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches through Wednesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Dolores are expected to increase near
the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico during the next few
days, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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