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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
1000 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

...DOLORES A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 103.8W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24
to 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dolores was
located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 103.8 West.  Dolores is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected through Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours,
and Dolores is expected to become a hurricane later on Monday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
tonight through Monday.

RAINFALL:  The outer rain bands of Dolores are expected to produce
total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches along the southwestern
coast of Mexico from the state of Oaxaca to Nayarit, with possible
isolated maximum amounts of 7 inches through Wednesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Dolores are expected to affect the
southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico during the next few
days, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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