ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 300 PM MDT THU JUL 16 2015 ...DOLORES WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.2N 112.7W ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM SW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Dolores was located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 112.7 West. Dolores is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Friday night. A turn toward the northwest with an increase in forward speed is forecast on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Dolores could become a tropical storm by Friday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Dolores are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico and Baja California Sur. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Berg NNNN