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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RICK ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212015
200 AM MST SAT NOV 21 2015

...RICK CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A COUPLE OF DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 113.8W
ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rick was
located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 113.8 West.  Rick is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected through
tonight.  A northwestward motion is forecast Sunday and Sunday
night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Rick is
expected to become a remnant low by Sunday night.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
to the east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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