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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042016
1000 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL TO
PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.1N 95.4W
ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Laguna Verde to Rio Panuco Mexico

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four
was located near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 95.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and
this general motion is expected to continue over the next day
or two.  On the forecast track, the center of the depression is
expected to move inland over eastern Mexico on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is forecast, and the depression could
become a tropical storm before it makes landfall in Mexico on
Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15
inches possible in higher terrain over the Mexican states of
Veracruz, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosi, Queretaro, Hidalgo, and
northern Puebla.  These rains could cause life-threatening flash
floods and mud slides.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within portions of the warning area Monday morning, making
outside preparations difficult or dangerous.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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