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HURRICANE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
500 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2016

...MATTHEW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE
WIND SCALE...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 69.9W
ABOUT 130 MI...215 KM NNW OF CURACAO
ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Curacao and Aruba
* Colombia/Venezuela border to Riohacha

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to
36 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the coasts of Venezuela and Colombia
should monitor the progress of Matthew.  Interests in Jamaica,
Hispaniola, and eastern Cuba should also monitor the progress of
Matthew.  A hurricane watch may be required for Jamaica later today.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Matthew was
located near latitude 14.0 North, longitude 69.9 West. Matthew is
moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general
motion with a decrease in forward speed is forecast through
Saturday.  A turn toward the northwest is expected Saturday night
or Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and
Matthew could become a major hurricane later today or tonight.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles
(295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible in Curacao and Aruba
this morning.  Tropical storm conditions are possible over portions
of the watch area in Colombia beginning later today.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher
amounts are expected over Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao through
Saturday.  Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher
amounts are expected along the coast of Colombia from the
Venezuelan border to Riohacha.  Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches
with isolated higher amounts are expected along the coast of
Venezuela from Coro to the Colombian border.

SURF:  Swells generated by Matthew are expected to affect portions
of the coasts of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao,
Venezuela, and Colombia during the next few days.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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