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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062016
900 AM MDT MON JUL 18 2016

...HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS REPORTED ON CLARION ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 114.9W
ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Estelle was
located near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 114.9 West. Estelle is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is likely during the next day or
so, and Estelle is forecast to become a hurricane later today or
tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km)
from the center.  An automated weather observing site on Clarion
Island recently reported sustained winds of 59 mph (95 km/h) and a
gust to 82 mph (133 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches). A
pressure of 995.3 was recently reported on Clarion Island.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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