ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062016 200 AM PDT WED JUL 20 2016 ...ESTELLE REMAINS JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.0N 122.0W ABOUT 825 MI...1330 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Estelle was located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 122.0 West. Estelle is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue today. A motion toward the west-northwest with some increase in forward speed is expected tonight through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. No significant change in intensity is expected over the next day or so, although Estelle could still become a hurricane today before weakening tonight and Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart NNNN