ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANK ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072016 300 AM MDT SAT JUL 23 2016 ...FRANK NOT A HURRICANE YET BUT MOST LIKELY TO BE ONE LATER TODAY OR SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.5N 109.8W ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Frank was located near latitude 18.5 North, longitude 109.8 West. Frank is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue with some decrease in forward speed during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Frank will be passing well south of the Baja California peninsula during the next several hours, and will be near Socorro Island later today. Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Frank is forecast to become a hurricane later today or Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells associated with Frank are probably already affecting the coasts of the southern Baja California peninsula and the state of Sinaloa. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Avila NNNN