ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KAY ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122016 900 AM MDT FRI AUG 19 2016 ...TROPICAL STORM KAY PASSING NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.1N 111.5W ABOUT 280 MI...455 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM WNW OF SOCORRO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kay was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 111.5 West. Kay is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this general motion should continue during the next 48 hours with a slight decrease in forward speed. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is possible during the next couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts NNNN