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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAY ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122016
900 AM MDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...KAY HOLDING ITS OWN...BUT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BY MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.2N 114.6W
ABOUT 325 MI...520 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kay was
located near latitude 21.2 North, longitude 114.6 West. Kay is
moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion
should continue today. A turn toward the west-northwest is expected
on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected by Monday, and Kay is forecast to become a
remnant low on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain

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