ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KAY ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122016 200 PM PDT SUN AUG 21 2016 ...KAY JUST A LITTLE STRONGER...BUT WEAKENING LIKELY BY MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.5N 115.3W ABOUT 360 MI...575 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kay was located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 115.3 West. Kay is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion should continue through Monday. A turn toward the west is expected by Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today, but weakening should begin on Monday. Kay is forecast to become a remnant low on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain NNNN