ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KAY ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122016 200 AM PDT MON AUG 22 2016 ...KAY EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.2N 116.6W ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kay was located near latitude 22.2 North, longitude 116.6 West. Kay is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Kay is likely to become a post-tropical remnant low by Tuesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi NNNN