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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAINE ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172016
200 PM PDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...PAINE EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.2N 116.9W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Paine
was located near latitude 27.2 North, longitude 116.9 West.  The
depression is moving toward the north near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A turn
toward the north-northeast is expected tonight, followed by a turn
toward the northeast and a decrease in forward speed on Wednesday.
On the forecast track, Paine will approach the northwest coast of
the Baja California peninsula tonight and early Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast, and Paine is
expected to become a remnant low tonight, and dissipate by early
Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Paine is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 3
inches across the northern Baja California peninsula with isolated
storm total amounts of 6 inches through Wednesday.

Moisture in advance of Paine will help spread rain into portions of
southern California, Arizona, southern Utah, New Mexico, and
southwestern Colorado with localized maximum amounts of 1 to 2
inches possible, mainly in areas of favored higher terrain.

WIND:  Wind gusts to near tropical storm force are possible along
portions of the northwest coast of the Baja California peninsula
through tonight.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

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