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Tropical Depression Rene Discussion Number  29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182020
500 AM AST Mon Sep 14 2020
 
Rene continues to produce just enough deep convection to keep it 
from degenerating to a remnant low.  However, it is expected to 
degenerate later today due to the ongoing impact of strong 
west-northwesterly vertical shear and dry air entrainment.  The 
initial intensity and the intensity forecast, which call for 
dissipation by 60 h, are unchanged from the previous advisory. 

The initial motion is a somewhat uncertain 270/3.  The shallow 
cyclone should accelerate west-southwestward or southwestward in the
low-level flow by 12-24 hours and continue on that general motion 
until dissipation. The new NHC track forecast is an update of the 
previous forecast.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  14/0900Z 27.4N  48.3W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  14/1800Z 27.2N  49.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  15/0600Z 26.6N  49.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  15/1800Z 25.8N  51.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  16/0600Z 25.0N  52.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  16/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 
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