ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Depression Seven-E Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072020 500 AM HST Mon Jul 20 2020 Even with its center now over 25 degrees Celsius water, the depression continues to produce a small area of deep convection which is asymmetrically favoring the southwestern semicircle of the circulation. With Dvorak Current Intensity numbers of 2.0/30 kt from TAFB and SAB, and no appreciable change in the overall convective structure, the initial intensity remains 30 kt. Thermodynamics are expected to be the primary limiting factor on the depression's intensity, as sea surface temperatures along the system's path continue to drop and the atmosphere becomes drier and more stable. As such, the depression is expected to lose organized deep convection, weaken, and degenerate into a remnant low in about 24 hours. The remnant low is forecast to dissipate in about 3 days, if not sooner, based on the latest global model guidance. The updated NHC intensity forecast is largely unchanged from the previous advisory. The depression is located along the southwestern edge of a mid-tropospheric high centered west of the Baja California peninsula, and to the southeast of a large mid-/upper-level low centered northeast of the Hawaiian Islands. The resultant flow around these features is imparting a northwestward motion on the depression at around 11 kt. With the depression expected to weaken over the next few days, it should become increasingly steered by lower-level winds, causing it to turn west-northwestward and then westward before it dissipates. The official track forecast lies close to HCCA and the other multi-model consensus aids, and it has been shifted slightly north of the previous forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/1500Z 18.7N 130.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 21/0000Z 19.4N 131.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 21/1200Z 19.7N 133.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 22/0000Z 19.3N 136.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 22/1200Z 18.4N 138.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 23/0000Z 17.3N 141.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg NNNN