ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM LORENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122013 800 PM PDT FRI SEP 06 2013 SATELLITE IMAGES AND RADAR DATA FROM CABO SAN LUCAS INDICATE THAT LORENA HAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS ORGANIZED THIS EVENING. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER APPEARS MORE ELONGATED...AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN DIMINISHING AND IS NOW LIMITED TO THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION. THE DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS HAVE DECREASED...AND THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS NUDGED DOWNWARD TO 35 KT. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER COOLER WATER AND INTO A MORE STABLE AIRMASS. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR LORENA TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION IN ABOUT 12 HOURS AND TO DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW IN 24 TO 36 HOURS. THIS FORECAST GENERALLY FOLLOWS THE TREND SEEN IN THE GFS AND ECMWF GLOBAL MODELS. THE STORM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 9 KT ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. LORENA IS FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN WHILE IT WEAKENS...AND ITS REMNANT LOW WILL LIKELY BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY CLOSE TO THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA COAST BY SUNDAY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/0300Z 23.2N 111.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 07/1200Z 23.6N 111.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 08/0000Z 24.0N 112.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 08/1200Z 24.3N 112.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 09/0000Z 24.5N 112.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN NNNN