ZCZC MIATCMEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122013 0300 UTC FRI SEP 06 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 107.6W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 107.6W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 107.2W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.6N 108.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.5N 109.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 23.2N 110.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 23.8N 110.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 25.0N 111.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 107.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG/BRENNAN NNNN