ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013 0900 UTC MON OCT 14 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 115.7W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 60SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 115.7W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 115.8W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.8N 115.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 115.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.1N 115.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.2N 115.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.5N 116.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 21.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 21.0N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 115.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN NNNN