ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 1100 PM AST TUE JUL 09 2013 ...CENTER OF CHANTAL PASSING SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.3N 66.2W ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM S OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM SE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARAHONA TO SAMANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO * ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI * TURKS AND CAICOS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * CENTRAL BAHAMAS INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.2 WEST. CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WILL PASS SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT...AND IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR EASTERN CUBA EARLY THURSDAY AND OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN OR CENTRAL BAHAMAS LATER ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE CHANTAL REACHES HISPANIOLA...BUT WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THAT TIME. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM... MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN HAITI BY LATE WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS ON THURSDAY. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE...ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES...WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY THE FOLLOWING AMOUNTS ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... SOUTHERN AND WESTERN HISPANIOLA...2 TO 4 FT REMAINDER OF TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA...1 TO 3 FT RAINFALL...CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BROWN NNNN