ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 800 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013 ...CHANTAL MOST LIKELY A TROPICAL WAVE... ...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE EN ROUTE TO VERIFY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 70.8W ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM SSW OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI * TURKS AND CAICOS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CENTRAL BAHAMAS INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL. IF THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE VERIFIES THAT CHANTAL HAS DEGENERATED INTO A TROPICAL WAVE...ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST. CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 29 MPH...46 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. IF CHANTAL REMAINS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE MOVING NEAR OR TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA TODAY...AND OVER EASTERN CUBA ON THURSDAY. HOWEVER...IF CHANTAL DEGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL WAVE...THE REMNANTS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO AREAS OF HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS EN ROUTE TO DETERMINE THE STATUS OF CHANTAL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD AFFECT THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THIS MORNING...AND HAITI LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS TONIGHT...AND OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY EARLY THURSDAY. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE...ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES...WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 2 FEET IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. RAINFALL...CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN