ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERICK ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 800 PM PDT MON JUL 08 2013 ...ERICK WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.2N 111.6W ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND ERICK IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON TUESDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND EARLY ON TUESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING. RAINFALL...ERICK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ERICK COULD STILL BE AFFECTING WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA BUT ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN NNNN