ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IVO ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092013 200 PM PDT SAT AUG 24 2013 ...IVO WEAKENS... ...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS AND WATCHES DISCONTINUED... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 114.1W ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM W OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM S OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL WARNINGS AND WATCHES. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IVO. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.1 WEST. IVO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IVO WILL MOVE PARALLEL TO THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND IVO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. RAINFALL...IVO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES...ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY IVO ARE AFFECTING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO EXPAND NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN