ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IVO ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092013 200 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013 ...IVO BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM INTO NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.7N 115.2W ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM WNW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.2 WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE REMNANT LOW IS FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN TONIGHT AND THEN BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF IVO ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES...ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. MOISTURE FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO SPREAD INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BRINGING A THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BROWN NNNN