ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LORENA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122013 1100 AM PDT FRI SEP 06 2013 ...RAINS FROM LORENA MOVING OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.5N 109.9W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM S OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF BUENAVISTA TO LA PAZ A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.9 WEST. LORENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE CENTER OF LORENA SHOULD BE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING SHOULD START BY TOMORROW WHEN LORENA INTERACTS WITH LAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...LORENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE WARNING AREA SHORTLY AND COULD CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE NNNN