ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013 0300 UTC SAT JUN 08 2013 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 3 11 12 NA NA NA TROP DEPRESSION 13 25 42 37 NA NA NA TROPICAL STORM 85 68 45 47 NA NA NA HURRICANE 2 5 3 4 NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 2 5 2 3 NA NA NA HUR CAT 2 X X X 1 NA NA NA HUR CAT 3 X X X X NA NA NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X NA NA NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40KT 40KT 35KT 35KT NA NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 15(15) 14(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 27(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BURGEO NFLD 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) PTX BASQUES 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) EDDY POINT NS 34 X 33(33) 19(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) EDDY POINT NS 50 X 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SYDNEY NS 34 X 12(12) 24(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 19(19) 10(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) HALIFAX NS 34 X 58(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) HALIFAX NS 50 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HALIFAX NS 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 51(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) YARMOUTH NS 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONCTON NB 34 X 16(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) ST JOHN NB 34 X 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) EASTPORT ME 34 X 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) BAR HARBOR ME 34 1 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) AUGUSTA ME 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORTLAND ME 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CONCORD NH 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BOSTON MA 34 18 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) HYANNIS MA 34 50 4(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) HYANNIS MA 50 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NANTUCKET MA 34 67 3(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) NANTUCKET MA 50 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PROVIDENCE RI 34 27 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) HARTFORD CT 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONTAUK POINT 34 30 X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) NEW YORK CITY 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) OCEAN CITY MD 34 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) WALLOPS CDA 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN