ZCZC HFOTCDCP2 ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP072014 500 PM HST TUE JUL 29 2014 Genevieve continues to battle westerly shear. The low-level center remains exposed to the west of the deep convection, which has been pulsating during the past several hours. The initial intensity is held at 30 kt, in agreement with a Dvorak classification from TAFB. The official forecast calls for little change in strength during the next several days. Although the strength of the system is not expected to change much, the depression is anticipated to become a remnant low in the next 24 h due to the continued influence of shear and dry air. Regeneration into a tropical cyclone is possible, however, in a couple of days when the system moves into a more favorable atmospheric environment. The depression is moving westward at about 8 kt on the south side of a low- to mid-level ridge. A turn to the west-northwest is expected during the next 24 to 48 hours, and that motion should persist through the remainder of the forecast period. The official track forecast is slightly slower than the previous one and near the middle of the guidance envelope. Genevieve has crossed 140W longitude and, therefore, the next advisory on this system will be issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center. Forecast discussions can be found under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP2 and WMO header WTPA42 PHFO. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/0300Z 12.9N 148.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 30/1200Z 13.0N 149.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 31/0000Z 13.1N 150.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 31/1200Z 13.2N 151.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 01/0000Z 13.4N 152.6W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 02/0000Z 13.7N 155.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 03/0000Z 14.2N 158.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 04/0000Z 14.7N 160.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Burke NNNN