ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172015 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1000 AM CDT WED SEP 30 2015 ...MARTY MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.2N 102.6W ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Marty was located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 102.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue over the next 48 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is likely to degenerate into a remnant low by Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Marty is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches over the Mexican state of Guerrero through Thursday. Isolated amounts of 10 inches are possible are possible in Guerrero from the Sierra Madre del Sur mountains toward the coast. These rains are expected to produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of mountainous terrain. SURF: Swells generated by Marty are still affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico. These swells will soon begin to subside, but are still likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch/Gallina NNNN