ZCZC HFOTCPCP5 ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP142016 1100 PM HST MON AUG 29 2016 ...MAJOR HURRICANE MADELINE TRACKING WESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.1N 147.2W ABOUT 515 MI...830 KM E OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 710 MI...1140 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Hawaii County. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Hurricane Watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical storm force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Interests elsewhere in the main Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of Madeline. Watches may be required for additional Hawaiian Islands later tonight or tomorrow. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Madeline was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 147.2 West. Madeline is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is expected to become west southwesterly late Tuesday through late Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Madeline will pass dangerously close to the Big Island Wednesday and Wednesday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Madeline is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some weakening is forecast through late Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 mb (28.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible over Hawaii County on Wednesday. SURF: Swells generated by Madeline are expected to reach the Hawaiian Islands over the next couple of days, possibly becoming damaging along some coastlines Wednesday and Thursday. RAIN: Heavy rains associated with Madeline may reach Hawaii County on Wednesday, and may impact other Hawaiian Islands later Wednesday into Friday. Madeline is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts near 15 inches, especially over windward portions of the Big Island. This rainfall may lead to dangerous flash floods and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM HST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Powell NNNN