ZCZC HFOTCPCP5 ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE MADELINE ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP142016 500 AM HST TUE AUG 30 2016 ...MAJOR HURRICANE MADELINE TRACKING WESTWARD TOWARDS THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.3N 148.3W ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM E OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 635 MI...1025 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for * Hawaii County A Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect for * Maui County including the islands of Maui Molokai and Lanai SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for * Hawaii County A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for * Maui County including the islands of Maui Molokai and Lanai A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Hawaii County. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrance of tropical storm force winds. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Watch is typically issued 48 hours before the possible first occurrance of tropical storm force winds. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Hurricane Watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical storm force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Interests elsewhere in the main Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of Madeline. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Madeline was located near latitude 19.3 North, longitude 148.3 West. Madeline is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this motion is expected to become west southwesterly later today through early Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Madeline will pass dangerously close to the Big Island Wednesday and Wednesday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Madeline is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some weakening is forecast through early Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 958 mb (28.29 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected and hurricane conditions are possible over Hawaii County on Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible over Maui County, including the islands of Maui Molokai and Lanai, on Wednesday. SURF: Swells generated by Madeline are expected to reach the Hawaiian Islands over the next couple of days, possibly becoming damaging along some coastlines Wednesday and Thursday. RAIN: Heavy rains associated with Madeline may reach Hawaii County on Wednesday, and may impact other Hawaiian Islands later Wednesday into Friday. Madeline is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts near 15 inches, across the Big Island, especially over windward portions. This rainfall may lead to dangerous flash floods and mudslides. Madeline may produce up to 4 inches of rainfall across Maui County. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM HST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Powell NNNN