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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Calvin Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032017
400 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017

...DEPRESSION BECOMES THIRD TROPICAL STORM OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC
SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 95.5W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Pacific coast of southeastern Mexico from Boca De Pijijiapan
to Punta Maldonado.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Calvin was
located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 95.5 West.  Calvin is
moving toward the west-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday.  On the
forecast track, the center will be near or over the coast tonight
or early Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected until landfall,
and weakening will occur after the center moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Calvin is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches across the Mexican states of
Chiapas, Oaxaca, and Guerrero, with possible isolated maximum
amounts of 20 inches. More than 6 inches of rain have already fallen
in Oaxaca and Salina Cruz in the Mexican state of Oaxaca. Calvin is
also forecast to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6
inches in the Mexican states of Tabasco and Veracruz, as well as in
Guatemala. More than 5 inches of rain has fallen in the city of
Veracruz thus far. These rains are expected to produce
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions have likely begun over portions of
the Tropical Storm Warning area, but should subside by early
Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch/Stewart

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