ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Calvin Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032017 1000 PM CDT Mon Jun 12 2017 ...CALVIN MOVING SLOWLY INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING EXPECTED... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.0N 95.8W ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM WSW OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM ENE OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning east of Salina Cruz and west of Laguna De Chacahua. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Pacific coast of southeastern Mexico from Laguna De Chacahua to Salina Cruz. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Calvin was located inland by surface observations near latitude 16.0 North, longitude 95.8 West. Calvin is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A motion toward the west-northwest or west is expected through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Calvin will continue to move inland over southeastern Mexico tonight and early Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady weakening is forecast through Tuesday, and Calvin is expected to become a tropical depression by early Tuesday as the system interacts with the mountainous terrain of Mexico. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center, mainly over water. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Calvin is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches across the Mexican states of Chiapas, Oaxaca, and Guerrero, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches. More than 10 inches of rain have already fallen in Salina Cruz in the Mexican state of Oaxaca. Calvin is also forecast to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6 inches in the Mexican states of Tabasco and Veracruz, as well as in Guatemala. More than 5 inches of rain has fallen in the city of Veracruz thus far. These rains are expected to produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions should subside by early Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart/Blake NNNN