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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Calvin Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032017
400 AM CDT Tue Jun 13 2017

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS LIKELY
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 96.3W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NNE OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Calvin
was located near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 96.3 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast
track, the center of Calvin will continue to move inland over
southeastern Mexico today.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast, and Calvin is
expected to dissipate over the mountainous terrain of southern
Mexico later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Calvin is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 6 to 12 inches across the Mexican states of Chiapas, Oaxaca,
Guerrero, and Veracruz, with possible isolated maximum amounts
of 20 inches. Calvin is also forecast to produce total rain
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches in the Mexican states of Tabasco,
Morelos, Mexico, and Michoaca, as well as in Guatemala. These
rains are expected to produce life-threatening flash floods
and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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